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Carbon-management decision support for prefabricated component production and delivery under dynamic energy–carbon signals

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<jats:title>Introduction</jats:title>
<jats:p>Operational decarbonization in prefabricated construction requires decision support that links factory production, transport logistics, energy prices, grid carbon intensity, and carbon-trading rules. This study develops an environmental systems engineering framework for carbon-management decision support in prefabricated component production and delivery.</jats:p>
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<jats:title>Methods</jats:title>
<jats:p>The framework represents the supply chain as a coupled production–transport system in which steam-curing intensity, time-of-use electricity pricing, time-varying grid carbon factors, diesel transportation emissions, and stepped carbon trading jointly shape operational choices. A tri-objective model is formulated to minimize project completion time, energy and fuel costs, and net carbon-trading costs. The model is solved using the Bi-layer Cooperative Evolutionary Algorithm with Q-Learning (BCEA-QL), which jointly searches production and delivery decisions.</jats:p>
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<jats:title>Results</jats:title>
<jats:p>Computational tests on nine synthetic test instances, including a recent reinforcement-learning-assisted baseline, show that BCEA-QL achieves the highest HV on all nine instances, with up to 6.88% higher hypervolume on large-scale instances. A 25-group metropolitan metro precast case further shows that, relative to a time-oriented schedule, a carbon-oriented schedule reduces energy and fuel costs by approximately 23% and yields only a small carbon-trading credit. A post-processing delay-cost analysis identifies manager-dependent switching thresholds near 57 and 212 CNY/h.</jats:p>
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<jats:title>Discussion</jats:title>
<jats:p>The results indicate that coordinated production and delivery scheduling can help environmental managers interpret operational carbon-management trade-offs under asynchronous price–carbon signals, without implying universal carbon reduction or full field validation.</jats:p>
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Publication
Journal:
Frontiers in Environmental Science
Year of Publication:
2026
Identifiers
ISSN:
2296-665X
Other Numbers:
224472128
Alternative titles
Locators